Horizon Analytics

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cand4 book — the official deployed set. ORIGINAL + FINAL_MM (the DD drivers) + cand_0006 + cand_0020 (ballast); cand_0076 excluded (it wicks to ~51%). One basket at a time (jump-in), faithful replay of the recorded live fills.

Use the LOT SCALE slider (top-right) to size the whole book: default 1× = 0.05 lots (≈10% DD — the ~10%-DD answer), live bridge = 0.06 (1.2×), max 2× = 0.10 lots. DD scales ~linearly with lots (exact); ROI recompounds (modeled — spot-on at 0.10, a few % high at tiny lots vs a real replay, from grid lot-rounding). DD shown is on-tick floating, balance-normalized — the intra-bar wick that could margin-call, not MT5's peak-to-trough "Maximal".

Balance vs Equity (intra-bar)

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Balance

Equity (intra-bar low)

↕ drag right axis to zoom Y · ↔ wheel/drag to pan time · double-click to fit

Equity Drawdown % over time

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Per-basket peak DD distribution

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cap Y:

Year × DD-bucket heatmap

basket count

Per-basket P&L scatter — each dot = 1 basket

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x = open time · y = basket P&L $ (derived from balance delta during basket life) · color = peak intra-bar DD% · size = fill count

DD bracket counts

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Bucket	Baskets	%	Cumulative	Realizable?

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Worst 30 baskets (by peak intra-bar DD)

Open	Cand	B	Fills	Dur h	DD %	DD $

Monthly compound returns — Dedup ON vs OFF

geometric monthly avg per year + cumulative

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Scenario builder — model real withdrawal strategies. Two modes: Historical replays the actual 1,699 baskets with your withdrawal rules applied (return-of-capital trigger + monthly profit %) showing how the balance would have evolved basket-by-basket. Forward projects future returns using a rolling-window average + the same rules. Scenarios operate on the EA's actual live config so you can model real cashflow decisions on the genuine 5.5-year track record.

Replays every basket from 2020-11 → 2026-05 with your settings applied · compounding cascades · DD is per-basket peak

Strategy inputs

Starting capital

Return-of-capital trigger withdraw initial when balance hits this multiple · pick a preset or type any value

custom: ×

Monthly profit % to withdraw take this % of each profitable month's gain · slider or type exact

Withdrawal cadence how often to take the % (only used if % > 0)

Only start monthly withdrawals AFTER trigger fires

Cap monthly withdrawal at $

Scenario vs. forever-compound

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Forever compound (theoretical)

Your total wealth (in-account + withdrawn)

In-account balance (after withdrawals)

Cumulative withdrawn (cashed out)

Recommended de-risking strategies

click a card to apply that strategy · sorted by total wealth retained

Monthly cashflow ledger

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